2027 Election: 3 People Who Can Defeat Tinubu Despite Mass Defection

2027 Election: 3 People Who Can Defeat Tinubu Despite Mass Defection

The chances of President Bola Tinubu returning to office in the 2027 election have been said can still be truncated despite the large number of defections his party has experienced since he resumed office in 2023.

President Tinubu's All Progressives Congress (APC) has received a large number of defectors from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Labour Party (LP) and the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) since 2025.

President Bola Tinubu has been said to be defeated if the likes of Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar and Rabiu Kwankwaso can be defeated.
Lawyer says President Bola Tinubu can be defeated if Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso work together, irrespective of the defection Photo Credit: @atiku, @officialABAT, @PeterObi
Source: Twitter

PDP chieftains jumping to APC

The defectors range from past and current political office holders, including senators, House of Representatives members, making the APC to have have the two-thirds majority in the two chambers of the National Assembly.

In 2025, no fewer than four governors have joined the ruling APC from the PDP. These included Governor Sheriff Oborevwori of Delta, Umo Eno of Akwa Ibom, Peter Mbah of Enugu and Agbu Kefas of Taraba states.

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Despite the mass defection, Binzak Azeez, a political commentator, in an exclusive interview with Legit.ng, said that Tinubu can still lose the 2027 election. He explained that the presidential election might not be influenced by any local politics, but by the regional dominance of each presidential candidate.

Analyst speaks Tinubu's fate in 2027

According to Azeez, Peter Obi is still a voice to reckon with in the southeast. Atiku Abubakar and Rabiu Kwankwaso still have control over a large number of votes in the north. Thus, if the three of them can work together, they would be able to stop Tinubu in 2027.

His statement reads:

"At the moment, the massive defection to the ruling APC is not the end of the road to the opposition. In my view, some of the defectors to the ruling party may be prominent but they have less electoral value. The serving senators, the current members of the house of representatives, former opposition political leaders who recently joined the ruling party may likely not significantly influence the 2027 presidential election.

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"I am not totally discarding the influence of these prominent politicians. I only feel their local influence in the coming election is being overrated. The factors that currently shape the people's voting patterns in the presidential election are different from the local elections. The people may decide to vote for the APC in their local election and massively do otherwise in the presidential election.
"Peter Obi remains the face of the Igbo people. Rabiu Kwankwaso has a significant stake in the presidential election. Atiku Abubakar remains a force to be reckoned with in the coming election. If these three politicians work together alongside their political allies, the massive defection would be rendered less effective."

Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
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Bada Yusuf (Politics and Current Affairs Editor) Yusuf Amoo Bada is an accomplished writer with over 5 years of experience in journalism and writing, he is also politics and current affairs editor with Legit.ng. He holds B.A in Literature from OAU, and Diploma in Mass Comm. He has obtained certificates in Google's Advance Digital Reporting, News Lab workshop. He previously worked as an Editor with OperaNews. Best Editor of the Year for Politics and Current Affairs Desk (2023) by Legit.ng. Contact: bada.yusuf.amoo@corp.legit.ng