2027 elections: Why Joining ADC Coalition Could Hurt Peter Obi’s Presidential Ambition

• Analysts warned that Obi risked alienating his core supporters by associating with recycled politicians in the ADC coalition
• Labour Party members cautioned that Obi’s ADC ties could trigger internal rifts and even threaten his presidential ticket
• Critics argued that coalition infighting, leadership struggles, and voter confusion might weaken Obi’s 2027 prospects

As the opposition rally under the African Democratic Congress (ADC) banner for 2027, analysts warn that Peter Obi faces several pitfalls by tying his fortunes to the new coalition.

Since the ADC was unveiled in July as the coalition’s platform for challenging President Tinubu, Obi has remained in the Labour Party while attending ADC meetings.

However, critics note this alliance could alienate his supporters, stir internal party conflict, and sow voter confusion.

Below are five key concerns highlighted by commentators and political figures.

1. Alienating core supporters

Obi built his profile on an outsider “Obidient” movement, and some worry his base may feel betrayed by an alliance with veteran politicians.

Dr Yunusa Tanko of the Obidient Movement said Obi “has always taken time to consult widely” before making major moves, implying he should do the same before formally joining the coalition.

A Guardian columnist likewise cautioned that the “rush to hobnob” with political heavyweights “indicates how desperation can push a man to the edge of the abyss.”

Critics argue that such a move may weaken the enthusiasm that gave Obi nearly seven million votes in 2023.

2. Labour Party rift and ticket threat

Obi’s flirtation with the ADC coalition has already sparked warnings within the Labour Party.

Some factions insist members cannot maintain dual loyalties. LP spokesman Umar Ibrahim declared that the party would not accept “half-in, half-out” affiliations, warning Obi’s camp that failure to return fully to Labour could lead to disqualification from the party’s presidential primary.

Analysts, Hamma Hayatu, noted that joining ADC may jeopardise Obi’s chances of securing the LP ticket, leaving his candidacy vulnerable to internal conflicts and rivalries.

3. Image of opportunism

Critics argue that the ADC coalition is dominated by recycled politicians, undermining Obi’s reformist appeal.

Guardian columnist Rasheed Ojikutu described it as “old wine in a new bottle,” noting that most coalition members are established political figures. Meanwhile, a forum of South-South leaders accused Obi of seeking shortcuts, asking why he was “avoiding primary elections” if he claimed to be a democrat.

These claims risk painting Obi as an opportunist in search of an easy ticket, tarnishing his outsider image.

4. Coalition infighting and leadership struggles

The ADC coalition unites several ambitious figures, but analysts fear it could descend into leadership clashes.

Ojikutu observed that Obi, Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi are “already in conflict on who would carry the baton in the forthcoming presidential race.”

Commentators also note that the coalition is largely personality-driven, with no strong institutional structures, Guardina reported.

In practice, this may force Obi to compete directly with heavyweight rivals inside the bloc, potentially fracturing the alliance and diminishing his influence.

5. Electoral uncertainty and confusion

Questions over Obi’s political base have already created confusion among voters. Nigeria’s FCT Minister Nyesom Wike bluntly asked:

“Where will he get the six million votes? Under the PDP or Labour Party? People should know which party you are running… Why are you keeping your supporters guessing?”

Such uncertainty, critics argue, could discourage turnout. The ADC’s limited national reach adds to concerns that Obi may dilute his momentum.

Vanguard further noted that PDP leaders strongly oppose the ADC coalition, warning that Obi risks marginalisation if he abandons his former party.

Peter Obi receives strong criticisms

Earlier, Legit.ng reported that several Nigerians on social media criticised Obi over a controversial tweet he made.

Obi's "we are finished" choice of words was strongly fumed at by a lot of internet users.

Source: Legit.ng