Imported Petrol Cheaper Than Dangote Refinery Price: World Bank

Imported Petrol Cheaper Than Dangote Refinery Price: World Bank

  • The World Bank says imported petrol is about 12% cheaper than fuel from Dangote
  • It added that Dangote’s ex-depot price creates a notable gap in favour of imports
  • The institution warned that rising global crude oil prices and energy costs

Legit.ng journalist Dave Ibemere has over a decade of experience in business journalism, with in-depth knowledge of the Nigerian economy, stocks, and general market trends.

The World Bank has said that imported petrol is currently cheaper than fuel supplied by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

In its latest Nigeria Development Update released in Abuja on Tuesday, April 7, the bank disclosed that imported Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) is about 12% cheaper than locally refined petrol.

Imported petrol now cheaper than Dangote refinery supply
The World Bank said Dangote's ex-depot price exceeds estimated import parity Photo: Bloomberg
Source: UGC

Dangote vs petrol importers

According to the report, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery raised its ex-depot price to about N1,275 per litre as of March 23, 2026, compared to an estimated import-parity price of around N1,122 per litre, creating a price gap in favour of imports.

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The bank said the disparity reflects distortions in Nigeria’s domestic pricing framework amid rising global crude oil prices and shifting market dynamics.

It noted that the refinery has become the dominant supplier of petrol following the regulator’s decision to halt the issuance of import licences earlier in 2026.

The Washington-based institution warned that sustained increases in global oil prices, driven partly by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, could worsen inflationary pressures in Africa’s largest economy.

It is projected that a rise in crude oil prices to around $80 per barrel could increase Nigeria’s headline inflation by about 3.1 percentage points, assuming full pass-through to domestic fuel prices.

Dangote refinery pricing above import levels raises market questions
World Bank warns of inflation risks from fuel price trends Photo: Bloomberg
Source: Getty Images

The report added that energy-related costs, particularly transport, which accounts for about 10.1% of Nigeria’s consumer price index, remain a major channel through which fuel price shocks spread across the economy.

Beyond fuel, the bank cautioned that higher global food and fertiliser prices could further drive inflation, compounding cost-of-living pressures for households, Vanguard reports.

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World Bank insight on Nigeria

Speaking at the report presentation, the World Bank’s Country Director for Nigeria, Mathew Verghis, said recent reforms have supported some improvement in macroeconomic conditions through 2025 into early 2026.

However, he warned that external shocks, including rising energy and shipping costs, continue to pose risks to price stability.

Also speaking, the bank’s Lead Economist for Nigeria, Fiseha Haile, said petrol price increases are already transmitting across transport and logistics chains, further affecting goods and services.

He added that although Nigeria’s external position has improved, supported by higher reserves and exchange rate reforms, uncertainties in global financial markets and weaker capital inflows remain key risks.

The report concluded that while Nigeria’s economy is showing resilience, inflation continues to erode purchasing power, underscoring the need for structural reforms to stabilise prices and support vulnerable households.

Depot operators adjust petrol and diesel prices

Legit.ng earlier reported that Fuel prices across Nigeria’s major depots rose again on April 2, 2026, as a sharp surge in global crude oil prices pushed up the cost of refined products.

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Both petrol (PMS) and diesel (AGO) recorded increases, highlighting renewed pressure on the downstream oil market.

Data compiled by PetroleumPriceNG shows that the average price of petrol rose modestly from about N1,234 per litre on April 1 to N1,242 per litre on April 2.

Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
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Dave Ibemere (Senior Business Editor) Dave Ibemere is a senior business editor at Legit.ng. He is a financial journalist with over a decade of experience in print and online media. He also holds a Master's degree from the University of Lagos. He is a member of the African Academy for Open-Source Investigation (AAOSI), the Nigerian Institute of Public Relations and other media think tank groups. He previously worked with The Guardian, BusinessDay, and headed the business desk at Ripples Nigeria. Email: dave.ibemere@corp.legit.ng.