Economist: Tinubu’s Reform Gains Yet To Improve Living Standards

Economist: Tinubu’s Reform Gains Yet To Improve Living Standards

  • The CPPE acknowledged improvements in key indicators like forex stability and investor confidence under Tinubu's reforms
  • CPPE CEO Dr Muda Yusuf said purchasing power remains weak and businesses still face high energy, financing and logistics costs
  • The electricity sector contracted by 15.3% in Q1 2026, even as manufacturing and agriculture recorded modest growth

Legit.ng journalist Dave Ibemere has over a decade of experience in business journalism, with in-depth knowledge of the Nigerian economy, stocks, and general market trends.

The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has said the economic gains recorded under President Bola Tinubu's reform programme have not yet translated into better living conditions for ordinary Nigerians.

In a statement to Legit.ng, CPPE Chief Executive Officer, Dr Muda Yusuf, acknowledged improvements in key economic indicators, including government revenues, foreign exchange market stability, external reserves, trade surplus and investor confidence.

Muda Yusuf says Nigeria’s reform gains must translate into more jobs, higher incomes and better welfare.
Tinubu’s reforms have strengthened revenues and FX stability, but household purchasing power remains under pressure. Photo: Presidency
Source: UGC

He, however, said the benefits of macroeconomic stabilisation had not sufficiently reached households and businesses still facing high costs and weak purchasing power.

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According to Yusuf, Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product growth rose to 3.89% in the first quarter of 2026, compared with 3.13% in the corresponding period of 2025.

He described the growth as an important foundation for investment and economic expansion but stressed that macroeconomic stability should ultimately translate into better welfare for citizens.

He said.

"Macroeconomic stability is a means, not an end."

He added that the real test of the reforms was whether they would deliver higher productivity, stronger investment, more jobs, lower poverty and improved living standards.

Businesses Still Under Pressure

Yusuf said the link between macroeconomic improvement and real-world welfare remained broken. Purchasing power is still weak, he noted, while businesses continue to struggle with high energy costs, expensive financing, logistics burdens and heavy regulatory demands.

He called for the next phase of the reforms to shift focus towards productivity, competitiveness and household welfare, urging state governments to ensure that higher revenues produce visible improvements in roads, healthcare, education, public transportation, agricultural infrastructure, security, power supply and support for small enterprises.

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The CPPE said:

"Higher revenues must produce a visible development and welfare dividend."

Electricity Sector a Key Concern

Yusuf flagged electricity as one of several structural constraints holding back growth.

The sector contracted by 15.3% in the first quarter of 2026, a worrying drop even as manufacturing grew by 3.29% and agriculture expanded by 3.15% over the same period.

He said addressing high structural costs across logistics, insecurity, infrastructure and capital access would be essential to accelerating growth in productive sectors.

The CPPE also called for trade policies that protect domestic industries and farmers while keeping competitive access open to inputs not readily available locally.

On the question of reform continuity, Yusuf warned that reversing course would damage the economy by shaking investor confidence, weakening fiscal stability and destabilising the foreign exchange market.

He urged the government to maintain its reform direction while adjusting policies based on evidence and real-world impact on businesses and households.

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Nigeria’s reform gains remain incomplete as households and businesses continue to face high operating costs.
Nigeria’s electricity sector contracted 15.3% in Q1 2026 despite growth in manufacturing and agriculture. Photo: Nurphoto
Source: Getty Images

He also called for tighter coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities to gradually ease financing costs as inflation comes down, without putting macroeconomic stability at risk.

Yusuf said the reform programme must now move from stabilisation towards productivity, from higher revenues to better development outcomes, and from improved indicators to tangible gains in jobs, incomes and living standards.

IMF releases Nigeria’s economic growth forecast for 2026, 2027

Earlier, Legit.ng reported that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has retained Nigeria's economic growth forecast steady at 4.1% for 2026 and 4.3% for 2027, signalling continued confidence in the country's reform trajectory even as global risks intensify.

The figures appear in the IMF's July 2026 World Economic Outlook Update, titled "Global Economy in Crosscurrents of War and Technology," and are unchanged from the projections the fund published in April 2026.

The report attributes Nigeria's resilient outlook to stronger macroeconomic stability

Source: Legit.ng

Authors:
Dave Ibemere avatar

Dave Ibemere (Senior Business Editor) Dave Ibemere is a senior business editor at Legit.ng. He is a financial journalist with over a decade of experience in print and online media. He also holds a Master's degree from the University of Lagos. He is a member of the African Academy for Open-Source Investigation (AAOSI), the Nigerian Institute of Public Relations and other media think tank groups. He previously worked with The Guardian, BusinessDay, and headed the business desk at Ripples Nigeria. Email: dave.ibemere@corp.legit.ng.