Taking into the account the partial results announced by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, is set to win the presidential election.
Meanwhile, Buhari failed to secure 25%+ in 10 states so far. However, this does not prevent him from a possible victory in the first round, with only Borno state results to be announced.
To win the election, a candidate needs to secure more than 50% of the total votes nationally - and gain at least 25% of the vote in two-thirds of the states.
The outcome of Nigeria’s polls, possibly the closest race since the end of military rule in 1999, trickled in on Monday, March 30, after a weekend election marred by confusion, arguments, card reader’s performance and sporadic violence.
March 30, 2015, Monday, 23:00
After realising the results from 18 states and the Federal Capital Territory Abuja, the commission postponed the announcement of results saying that they would start again at 10:00 on Tuesday morning.
READ ALSO: Nigeria Decided: INEC Announces Official Results
Legit.ng team, which has collected results from as they were being broadcasted live on the TV and radio, reported on Monday night that Buhari had obtained up to 8,520,436 votes, near 55%, and Jonathan - 6,488,210 million, 41.56%.
March 31, 2015, Tuesday.
Buhari was building the gap throughout the day. Currently he has a total of 14,951,378 (51.70%), while President Jonathan has 12,827,522 (44.36%).
The INEC announced that the opposition party took the most votes in Oyo, Kogi, Kwara, Katsina, Kaduna, Osun, Kano, Jigawa and Ondo states. Buhari also won in Niger, Lagos, Gombe, Adamawa, Zamfara and Kebbi, Benue, Bauchi, Yobe and Sokoto
President Jonathan's ruling PDP took the most ballots in Nasawara, Ekiti, Enugu, Abia, Imo, Akwa Ibom, Plateau, Anambra, Ebonyi, Bayelsa, Cross River and Rivers, Edo, Taraba, Delta states and the FCT.
The Premium Times collation of results from Nigeria’s 36 states and Abuja supposes that former military ruler Buhari will win with over 14 million votes, representing about 55% of the votes.
The current head of the country can gather over 11 million votes, representing 44% of the votes.
The study also shows that the Buhari will get the highest number of votes in 21 states while President Jonathan will overcome proceedings in 15 states and Abuja.
The APC candidate will also meet the constitutional obligation to be declared president-elect by getting more than one quarter of the votes in 24 states.
Sahara Reporters is also projecting Muhammadu Buhari as the winner of last weekend’s presidential poll based on collated poll results from 95% of Nigeria’s polling units.
READ ALSO: Buhari Wins Convincingly In Benue
According to the analysis the opposition candidate will take Adamawa, Bauchi, Benue, Borno, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Niger, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara.
While the current head of the country Jonathan will win in Rivers, Plateau, Taraba, Nasarawa, Imo, Enugu, Ekiti, Edo, Delta, Ebonyi, Cross River, Bayelsa, Anambra, Akwa Ibom, Abia and the Federal Capital Territory (Abuja).
In Rivers state, the volatile and hotly contested home of Africa's biggest oil and gas industry, Jonathan won a massive 95% of the vote.
The analysis may have a margin of mistake, and only the electoral commission is constitutionally authorized to announce a candidate winner of the presidential poll.
But if the APC candidate is finally declared the winner, he would be back to power about 30 years after a military coup conceived by Ibrahim Babangida, his then Army chief, dismissed General Buhari as Nigeria’s military head of state.
He would also be making history as the first opposition candidate in Nigeria’s history to remove an incumbent president from governing.
If the trend continues, Jonathan would be the first incumbent to suffer a defeat at the ballot box in the history of Africa’s biggest democracy.
The international community has called for a fair and peaceful election that would send a signal to the rest of the continent.
While INEC took a break in announcing of the results, follow live updates from Legit.ng>>>Nigeria Decided: INEC Announces Official Results