Bookmakers have some tricks to predict matches and win big sums of money! Do you want to do the same? How to predict football matches accurately? Check our top things to consider for people who want to have better chances in betting!
Learn how to predict football matches
If you want to predict football matches, then you must start from somewhere. When you try to predict a football match just by guessing its results, you rely only on luck. But if you analyze the matches and rely more on the statistical results, then you can get better chances with your predictions.
You should not rely only on luck when you are predicting football matches. There are a lot of cases in history where obviously weak teams win matches against their superior opponents. But these cases are very rare. Therefore, rely only on statistics! How to analyse football match odds and turn them to your side? Check our top 7 tips on how to predict football matches and win.
1. How to predict football matches successfully – the Variables
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When you consider the question of how to predict football matches – you need to think about variables. What kind of data should you use to predict the matches? When you mention football, the first thing to consider is the team performance data. This data usually includes:
- Goal Differential;
- Location of Shots;
- Shots on Target;
- Shots on Goal;
You will need to collect this data to provide more accurate predictions about the current odds between the opponents. Try to collect some data about the previous ten matches of the team. It can be a very time-consuming process but it's totally worth it! When you get enough information about the team performances in the previous matches – you will get the whole picture for their next matches.
2. Football Predictions – Goal Expectancy
It`s simple mathematics. Any betting website can provide you with information about goal expectancy in a match. You can also find this kind of data on sports forums. It's also possible to look at the match previews. In these previews, professional commentators can provide all necessary information about possible goals in a match.
Do not forget to pay special attention to the ball possession rates of teams. You can collect the data about the goal expectancy from various sources to understand the possibility of goals between the teams.
3. Football bet predictions – Home Ground Advantage
According to the statistics, the team with home ground advantage perform much better. According to a Betting Expert website, a club which plays at home can get +0.74 goal advantage. The same site shows the statistics for the last five seasons, where the football clubs from the Europe`s leagues had much better home ground performance. They got +0.37 chances at goals on their home ground.
Therefore, you can also apply this data when you calculate the betting odds for a team. The home ground can really help to win a match even against stronger teams. There are a lot of reasons for that! For instance, fans at the home ground are much more than the fans of the away team.
4. Goal Differential
The goal differential can provide the best possible data about the match. It`s the most available data in any statistical category. Still, goals have a tendency to be rather random. Football matches sometimes provide unexpected results.
Still, you will need to look through the data about the expected goal differential for the match. Also, you will need to look at the previous matches of the team to better predict results.
5. Team roaster
Do not forget that a team is as strong as its weakest link. Therefore, you should check who will play in the match before you place your bet. Also,try to read as match information about them as possible. The best players in the match can certainly provide better chances for a team. But do not forget about the new players in the match. They could also change the results.
6. Shot on Goal
Statistically, the more you try to shot a goal, the more possibilities you have to achieve it. All shots for goals are different! Therefore, you may need to find the data about the ball possession for the team and their quantity of shots and goal shots. If you look at the statistics, you can find that teams with better possession percentage can make better shots. Therefore, these teams can also provide better shots on goals statistics.
7. Location of shots
Location of shots is also crucial for your predictions. Do not forget that some teams can make their best shots from certain positions of the field. At the same time, the opposing team can have the best defense only at certain parts of the field. You will need to calculate the possibility of shots from different positions on the field.
In order to predict football matches accurately do not rely on luck, review the statistics and analytical data. If you use the data to your advantage – you will make large sums of money from betting. However, there are no magic tricks to win. Using statistics and mathematics in the matches you can increase your victory chances.
You can`t lose if you do not play! At the same time, you can`t win if you do not play. Just make sure you play smartly.
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